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Der Weg des Trinkers: Wie Zufall unser Leben regiert von Mlodinow, Leonard-
by Mlodinow, Leonard | PB | Good
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eBay-Artikelnr.:193323942786
Artikelmerkmale
- Artikelzustand
- Gut
- Hinweise des Verkäufers
- Binding
- Paperback
- Book Title
- The Drunkard's Walk
- Weight
- 0 lbs
- Product Group
- Book
- IsTextBook
- No
- ISBN
- 9780307275172
Über dieses Produkt
Product Identifiers
Publisher
Knopf Doubleday Publishing Group
ISBN-10
0307275175
ISBN-13
9780307275172
eBay Product ID (ePID)
70906561
Product Key Features
Number of Pages
272 Pages
Publication Name
Drunkard's Walk : How Randomness Rules Our Lives
Language
English
Subject
Chaotic Behavior in Systems, Probability & Statistics / General, Life Sciences / General, General
Publication Year
2009
Type
Textbook
Subject Area
Mathematics, Philosophy, Science
Format
Trade Paperback
Dimensions
Item Height
0.8 in
Item Weight
10 Oz
Item Length
7.9 in
Item Width
5.2 in
Additional Product Features
Intended Audience
Trade
LCCN
2009-419531
Dewey Edition
22
Reviews
"Mlodinow writes in a breezy style, interspersing probabilistic mind-benders with portraits of theorists.... The result is a readable crash course in randomness." -- The New York Times Book Review "A wonderfully readable guide to how the mathematical laws of randomness affect our lives." --Stephen Hawking, author of A Brief History of Time "[Mlodinow] thinks in equations but explains in anecdote, simile, and occasional bursts of neon. . . . The results are mind-bending." -- Fortune "Even if you begin The Drunkard's Walk as a skeptic, by the time you reach the final pages, you will gain an understanding-if not acceptance-of the intuitively improbable ways that probability biases the outcomes of life's uncertainties." -- Barron's "Delightfully entertaining." -- Scientific American "A magnificent exploration of the role that chance plays in our lives. The probability is high that you will be entertained and enlightened by this intelligent charmer." --Daniel Gilbert, author of Stumbling on Happiness "Mlodinow is the perfect guy to reveal the ways unrelated elements can relate and connect." -- The Miami Herald "A primer on the science of probability." -- The Washington Post Book World "Challenges our intuitions about probability and explores how, by understanding randomness, we can better grasp our world." -- Seed Magazine "Mlodinow has an intimate perspective on randomness." -- The Austin Chronicle, "Mlodinow writes in a breezy style, interspersing probabilistic mind-benders with portraits of theorists.... The result is a readable crash course in randomness."- The New York Times Book Review "A wonderfully readable guide to how the mathematical laws of randomness affect our lives."-Stephen Hawking, author of A Brief History of Time "[Mlodinow] thinks in equations but explains in anecdote, simile, and occasional bursts of neon. . . . The results are mind-bending."- Fortune "Even if you begin The Drunkard's Walk as a skeptic, by the time you reach the final pages, you will gain an understanding-if not acceptance-of the intuitively improbable ways that probability biases the outcomes of life's uncertainties."- Barron's "Delightfully entertaining."- Scientific American "A magnificent exploration of the role that chance plays in our lives. The probability is high that you will be entertained and enlightened by this intelligent charmer." -Daniel Gilbert, author of Stumbling on Happiness "Mlodinow is the perfect guy to reveal the ways unrelated elements can relate and connect."- The Miami Herald "A primer on the science of probability."- The Washington Post Book World "Challenges our intuitions about probability and explores how, by understanding randomness, we can better grasp our world." - Seed Magazine "Mlodinow has an intimate perspective on randomness."- The Austin Chronicle, "Mlodinow writes in a breezy style, interspersing probabilistic mind-benders with portraits of theorists.... The result is a readable crash course in randomness." -The New York Times Book Review "A magnificent exploration of the role that chance plays in our lives. The probability is high that you will be entertained and enlightened by this intelligent charmer." -Daniel Gilbert, author ofStumbling on Happiness "Mlodinow is the perfect guy to reveal the ways unrelated elements can relate and connect." -The Miami Herald "A history, explanation, and exaltation of probability theory.... Mlodinow thinks in equations but explains in anecdote, simile, and occasional bursts of neon.... The results are mind-bending." -Fortune "A primer on the science of probability." -The Washington Post Book World "A wonderfully readable guide to how the mathematical laws of randomness affect our lives." -Stephen Hawking "Challenges our intuitions about probability and explores how, by understanding randomness, we can better grasp our world." -Seed Magazine "Mlodinow has an intimate perspective on randomness." -The Austin Chronicle "Even if you beginThe Drunkard's Walkas a skeptic, by the time you reach the final pages, you will gain an understanding-not acceptance-of the intuitively improbable ways that probability biases the outcomes of life's uncertainties." -Barron's, "Mlodinow writes in a breezy style, interspersing probabilistic mind-benders with portraits of theorists.... The result is a readable crash course in randomness." -The New York Times Book Review "A wonderfully readable guide to how the mathematical laws of randomness affect our lives." -Stephen Hawking, author ofA Brief History of Time "[Mlodinow] thinks in equations but explains in anecdote, simile, and occasional bursts of neon. . . . The results are mind-bending." -Fortune "Even if you begin The Drunkard's Walk as a skeptic, by the time you reach the final pages, you will gain an understanding-if not acceptance-of the intuitively improbable ways that probability biases the outcomes of life's uncertainties." -Barron's "Delightfully entertaining." -Scientific American "A magnificent exploration of the role that chance plays in our lives. The probability is high that you will be entertained and enlightened by this intelligent charmer." -Daniel Gilbert, author ofStumbling on Happiness "Mlodinow is the perfect guy to reveal the ways unrelated elements can relate and connect." -The Miami Herald "A primer on the science of probability." -The Washington Post Book World "Challenges our intuitions about probability and explores how, by understanding randomness, we can better grasp our world." -Seed Magazine "Mlodinow has an intimate perspective on randomness." -The Austin Chronicle, "A wonderfully readable guide to how the mathematical laws of randomness affect our lives."--Stephen Hawking, author ofA Brief History of Time "The Drunkard's Walkis a magnificent exploration of the role that chance plays in our lives. Often historical, occasionally hysterical, and consistently smart and funny, this book challenges everything we think we know about how the world works. The probability is high that you will be entertained and enlightened by this intelligent charmer."--Daniel Gilbert, professor of psychology, Harvard University, and author ofStumbling on Happiness "Fast, chatty, very readable, and a fine introduction to ideas that everyone should know." --David Berlinski, author ofA Tour of the Calculus "A primer on the science of probability."The Washington Post Book World "Mlodinow writes in a breezy style, interspersing probabilistic mind-benders with portraits of theorists ...The result is a readable crash course in randomness."The New York Times Book Review "A jaunty read worthy of any beach or airplane. . . . Mlodinow has an intimate perspective on randomness. . . . He draws direct links from the works of history's greatest minds to the deeds of today's not-so-great ones, explaining phenomena like the prosecutor's fallacy (which helped acquit O.J. Simpson) and the iPod shuffle function (eventually programmed not to be truly random, lest songs hit upon eerie playing streaks)."The Austin Chronicle "Please readThe Drunkard's Walk: How Randomness Rules Our Livesby Leonard Mlodinow, a history, explanation, and exaltation of probability theory. . . . Mlodinow . . . thinks in equations but explains in anecdote, simile, and occasional bursts of neon. . . .The results are mind-bending."Fortune "Challenges our intuitions about probability and explores how, by understanding randomness, we can better grasp our world."Seed Magazine "[Mlodinow is] the perfect guy to reveal the ways unrelated elements can relate and connect."The Miami Herald From the Hardcover edition.
TitleLeading
The
Illustrated
Yes
Dewey Decimal
519.2
Table Of Content
Prologue Chapter 1: Peering through the Eyepiece of Randomness The hidden role of chance . . . when human beings can be outperformed by a rat. Chapter 2: The Laws of Truths and Half-Truths The basic principles of probability and how they are abused . . . why a good story is often less likely to be true than a flimsy explanation. Chapter 3: Finding Your Way through a Space of Possibilities A framework for thinking about random situations . . . from a gambler in plague-ridden Italy to Let's Make a Deal. Chapter 4: Tracking the Pathways to Success How to count the number of ways in which events can happen, and why it matters . . . the mathematical meaning of expectation. Chapter 5: The Dueling Laws of Large and Small Numbers The extent to which probabilities are reflected in the results we observe . . . Zeno's paradox, the concept of limits, and beating the casino at roulette. Chapter 6: False Positives and Positive Fallacies How to adjust expectations in light of past events or new knowledge . . . mistakes in conditional probability from medical screening to the O. J. Simpson trial and the prosecutor's fallacy. Chapter 7: Measurement and the Law of Errors The meaning and lack of meaning in measurements . . . the bell curve and wine ratings, political polls, grades, and the position of planets. Chapter 8: The Order in Chaos How large numbers can wash out the disorder of randomness . . . or why 200,000,000 drivers form a creature of habit. Chapter 9: Illusions of Patterns and Patterns of Illusion Why we are often fooled by the regularities in chance events . . . can a million consecutive zeroes or the success of Wall Street gurus be random? Chapter 10: The Drunkard's Walk Why chance is a more fundamental conception than causality . . . Bruce Willis, Bill Gates, and the normal accident theory of life. Acknowledgments Notes Index
Synopsis
With the born storyteller's command of narrative and imaginative approach, Leonard Mlodinow vividly demonstrates how our lives are profoundly informed by chance and randomness and how everything from wine ratings and corporate success to school grades and political polls are less reliable than we believe. By showing us the true nature of chance and revealing the psychological illusions that cause us to misjudge the world around us, Mlodinow gives us the tools we need to make more informed decisions. From the classroom to the courtroom and from financial markets to supermarkets, Mlodinow's intriguing and illuminating look at how randomness, chance, and probability affect our daily lives will intrigue, awe, and inspire., NATIONAL BESTSELLER * From the classroom to the courtroom and from financial markets to supermarkets, an intriguing and illuminating look at how randomness, chance, and probability affect our daily lives that will intrigue, awe, and inspire. "Mlodinow writes in a breezy style, interspersing probabilistic mind-benders with portraits of theorists.... The result is a readable crash course in randomness." -- The New York Times Book Review With the born storyteller's command of narrative and imaginative approach, Leonard Mlodinow vividly demonstrates how our lives are profoundly informed by chance and randomness and how everything from wine ratings and corporate success to school grades and political polls are less reliable than we believe. By showing us the true nature of chance and revealing the psychological illusions that cause us to misjudge the world around us, Mlodinow gives us the tools we need to make more informed decisions. From the classroom to the courtroom and from financial markets to supermarkets, Mlodinow's intriguing and illuminating look at how randomness, chance, and probability affect our daily lives will intrigue, awe, and inspire.
LC Classification Number
QA273.M63 2009
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- 01. Sep. 2020
Enjoyable mind expanding read!
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- 30. Nov. 2019
Excellent product Perfect condition
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- 27. Apr. 2016
Engrossing!
Bestätigter Kauf: JaZustand: GebrauchtVerkauft von: betterworldbooks
- 11. Jun. 2016
Great book
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- Automatische Bewertung von eBay- Bewertung vom Käufer.Letzter MonatBestellung pünktlich und problemlos geliefert
- j***a (34)- Bewertung vom Käufer.Vor über einem JahrBestätigter KaufInteresting book that was in good condition
- s***i (3522)- Bewertung vom Käufer.Vor über einem JahrBestätigter KaufGreat seller, fast shipping, thanks so much!
- e***- (122)- Bewertung vom Käufer.Letzter MonatBestätigter KaufUnfortunately I received a damaged book, the item and the package both were damaged and it was clearly evident its appearance that it happened during transit. The seller was very understanding and gave me a full refund for the damaged book, though it was no fault of their own. Other than the damage, the book was as described, the quality and condition aside from the damaged spot was like new. The cost of the book was reasonable. I would definitely purchase from the seller again.
- v***v (2100)- Bewertung vom Käufer.Letzte 6 MonateBestätigter KaufAlthough this book was not as described, with no picture of it in the listing, the seller communicated well and quickly gave me a full refund while letting me keep it. The minimal packaging left the book a bit vulnerable (typical for ThriftBooks), but it did arrive safely and timely. As usual, it’s hit or miss with this seller, but often times you can get great values, and their customer service is always very good. Many other sellers with millions of transactions don’t even communicate.How to chalk talk, by Harlan Tarbell (Nr. 197064259889)
- 7***j (850)- Bewertung vom Käufer.Letzte 6 MonateBestätigter KaufI recently purchased an item from this eBay seller, and I couldn't be happier with the experience. From the prompt communication to the fast shipping, everything was handled with utmost professionalism. The item arrived exactly as described and was well-packaged to ensure its safety during transit. The seller was courteous and responsive, making the entire transaction smooth and hassle-free. I highly recommend this seller to anyone looking for quality products and excellent service.