Table Of ContentIntroduction to Decision Modeling. The Decision Analysis Approach Case Studies: Exo Health Universal Airlines. Decision Model Structuring Case Studies: Atlanta Photo Finishers (A) Superior Power and Gas Company (A). Probability Assessment. Appendix A: A Probability Primer. Choosing between Alternatives Case Study: James Johnson Art Auctions (A). The Expected Utility Decision Criterion Case Study: James Johnson Art Auctions (B). Appendix B: The Axioms of Decision Analysis/Expected Utility. Multiattributed Utility Functions. Sensitivity Analysis Case Study: Digmout Mines Inc. (A). Simulation in Decision Analysis Case Studies: RW Industries Northern Insurance Brokers. Revision of Probabilities Case Studies: Printem Inc. Bangpay Insurance Company. The Value of Information Case Studies: Sunbelt Software Services (A) Sunbelt Software Services (B). Implementation of Decision Analysis Case Study: Mirassou Vineyards (A). Behavioral Aspects of Decision Analysis. Decision Support Systems. Complementary Decision Analysis Aids Appendix: "Arborist" Documentation. 700 pp., 1988, hardbound, ISBN 0-256-06162-9.
SynopsisThis text focuses on how decision analysis can be used to support the managerial decision process. It supports professors and students in the classroom with extensive case studies and problem sets, and with Arborist software and documentation.